BCF 20140320 1
l. Mikä on Barentskeskus Finland? Barentskeskus Finland Oy Sen omistavat Pohjois-Suomen kaupungit, maakuntaliitot, korkea- ja ammattikoulut. Se on voittoa tuottamaton organisaatio, joka tukee suomalaista yrityselämää ja julkista sektoria Barentsin alueella. Barentskeskus on luonut tietokannan kaikista yksityisen, julkisen ja julkis-yksityisen sektoreiden tarjouspyynnöistä Pohjois-Norjassa, Pohjois-Ruotsissa ja Luoteis-Venäjällä. Tietokannat päivitetään kerran kuukaudessa. Maakohtaiset tarjouspyyntöraportit toimitetaan Barentskeskuksen osakkaille kerran kuukaudessa. Barentskeskus kommunikoi suoraan Suomen paikallisten suurlähetystöjen ja konsulaattien kanssa Barentsin alueella ja auttaa arvovaltapalvelujen hyödyntämisessä tarvittaessa. Barentskeskus taustoittaa Ulko-. Työ- ja Elinkeinoministeriötä, Tasavallan Presidentin ja Valtioneuvoston kansliaa Barentsin alueen kysymyksissä. Tausta Euroopan pohjoinen osa nähdään tulevaisuuden kasvukeskuksena. Sen ajureina toimivat kaasu, öljy ja kaivosteollisuus. Tämän lisäksi vesi ja tuulivoima, sähkönsiirtoverkkojen päivitys, matkailu, kuljetus ja logistiikka, kalastus, kalanviljely, rahdin, öljyn ja kaasun joki ja merikuljetukset Siperiasta ja Siperiaan tulevat kasvamaan merkittävästi. Koillisväylä ja Pohjoisnavan läpäisevä merireitti tulevat tarvitsemaan vahvan infrastruktuurin kuten jäänmurtajia, satamia, huoltotelakoita, öljyntorjuntaa, pelastus ja evakuointipalveluita sekä älykkäitä satelliittijärjestelmiä. Energian säästö, energiatehokkuus, ympäristöturva ja saastumisen vähentäminen ovat avainsektoreita uuden globaalin kasvun alueella. BCF 20140320 2
ll. The investment volume in High North until 2025 1. The total needed investment value in the European High North is estimated to roughly 144 B until year 2025. 2. The investment to start first and which are more or less secured are estimated to 75 B 2. This volume is divided between Norway, Sweden, Finland and Russia. 3. The business areas are: Industry Mining Oil & Gas Nuclear power Hydro Energy Wind Energy Bio Energy Electricity transfer networks Trade Tourism Transport and logistics (TRPL) Public Investments BCF 20140320 3
ll. Investoinnit maittain ja sektoreittain vuoteen 2025 mennessä Sektori Yhteensä Mrd N FIN N S N N NW RUS Teollisuus 7,043 1,743 1,275 2,310 1,715 Kaivosteoll. 20,542 7,790 7,740 0,672 4,340 Öljy&Kaasu 26,226 - - 25,426 0,800 Ydinvoima 12,000 6,000 - - 6,000 Vesivoima 7,260 0,470 1,660 3,920 1,210 Tuulivoima 33,924 6,958 10,725 15,921 0,320 Bio energia 0,958 0,678 - - 0,280 Sähköverkot 2,150 0,390 0,500 1,260 - Kauppa 1,355 1,235 0,120 - - Matkailu 3,361 1,886 1,155 0,210 0,110 Kuljetus/Log 14,680 4,494 4,155 3,975 12,150 Julkiset inv. 4,394 1,239-1,780 1,375 TL Mrd 143,987 32,883 27,33 55,474 28,30 N.B. Luvut ovat Lapin Kauppakamarin kirjasesta, European High North Investment Catalogue 2014. Ryhmittely, koonti ja yhteenveto Barents Center Finland Oy 20140318 BCF 20140320 4
Norway lv. Short summary of the present and the opportunities by country 1. Norway lives of oil and gas. They have brought 610 B to Norwegian Oil Fund 2. Norways GNP grows steadily with 3% per year, unemployment is 3,7%, engineer shortage is min 2000 per year, shortage of skilled personnel 15000, total personnel shortage 100.000 per year. Average salary in Norway is 5500 /month, disposable income 4000 per month, Finnish average 3000, disposable 1700. 3. Norway has more than ten closed down mines. They could be opened profitably with modern technology 4. Norway will play a key role in the opening of the Northern Sea Route to and from Asia due to its year round open ports like Mo I Rana, Troms, Narvik, Alta, Hammerfest and Kirkenes 5. Statoil has decided to invest 10-12 B into Veidnes area for taking an 280 km long oilpipe line ashore, building an oilterminal etc. Construction starts in 2014. Ready by 2018. 6. Tromsö port is starting a large investment project already this year. 7. Kirkenes is already an iron ore export harbor and is now becoming a reloading/transfer harbor for raw oil coming from Yamal and Kara sea. The raw oil is sent to Rotterdam for refining. Investment by Norterminal is 2 BNOK 2014-2016. There are three different/independent harb or projects Pulkneset, Gamneset and KILA. The airport and the connecting roads are rebuilt. 8. Sydvaranger Gruve AS is going to double its output during 2014. 9. Nussir AS Coppermine is starting its operations in 2015-2016. 10. Norway is by far the biggest investor in the High North with secured investments of approx 29 B. BCF 20140320 5
Sweden 1. Iron mining in Kiruna represents 95 per cent of the European iron supply. The reserves are still for foreseeable future. 2. Kiruna city and Gällivare cities iare going to be moved a few kilometers away from present locations in order to make it possible to utilize the iron under the city. The process should be completed by 2030. 3. Due to increased mining and new mines the railway and road transport infrastructure will be rebuilt in Northern Sweden. The railway investments and building will not be completed before 2024. 4. The Swedish Government has decided to invest 200 MSEK(24 M ) in ming, mineral and steel research in the North. Total government investment in infrastructure 2013-2017 rises to 3,5 BSEK. 5. The Swedish steel mills and mining require huge amounts of energy and therefore new energy sources and energy transfer networks are needed. 6. There will be a huge investment in wind energy and Sweden is aiming at exporting wind mill electrical energy. Approx. 1800 wind mill stations are going to be built. One wind mill costs approximately 3 M. 7. The establishment of server halls for global players like Facebook I and II will drastically increase the need for energy. 8. The secured investments in Northern Sweden amount to almost 20 B. BCF 20140213 6
Finland 1. The metal mining and refining industry are on the high in Finland 2. The needs are in the infrastructure due to lack of rail, road and reliable/predictable sea transports 3. Finland does not have an ice free port (or direct access to one), which would be essential in order to secure the disturbance free export of the metal and mining industry s products also during winter. 4. The new IMO sulphur directive raises the price for sea transports on the Bothnian Gulf and Baltic Sea to a level, which effectively prohibits ship/sea transports of metals as bulk and refined products with present vessels. Outokumpu Plc has calculated the cost effect to 15 M PA for their own transports. This though does not affect the Russian vessels, which are not covered by the IMO sulphur treaty. 5. The railroad to Kirkenes, Murmansk, Narvik or Troms would change the situation dramatically 6. The Finnish metal and mining industries need more energy. The on-coming nuclear energy plant in Pyhäjoki is still far away in the future. Two of the Finnish nuclear plants are becoming obsolete so Olkiluoto and Pyhäjoki only retain the status quo. 7. Natural gas and LNG are valid environmentally acceptable alternatives to further construction of nuclear energy for the mining and metal refining industry. Norway or/and Russia could be a viable suppliers in this case for industry and communities. LNG can be transported by rail, truck and ship. 8. The lack of transport infrastructure in rail, roads, ships and the unpredictable tax practise for LNG could invalidate this opportinity. 9. The secured investments in Northern Finnland are approx 13 B, of which Oulu region takes 10 B. BCF 20140320 7
Russia 1. The oil and gas reserves in NW-Russia, MMK to Yamal peninisnula are minimum 5 times bigger than the Norwegian reserves. 2. Three LNG trains are planned, each min 6 B in Yamal by Novatek. 3. Rosneft and Statoil have created a strategic alliance for oil&gas prospecting/development 4. The existing railroad connections on the Russian side would allow transport of LNG and mining products (both ways) with relatively modest investments or shuttle ships or combination of both. 5. The mining sector, 5 mines, prosper in North West of Russia. Three of the mining companies are cash rich. They need trp to markets like the corridor from Kostomuksha to Raahe and Oulu. The mining sector especially in North West of Russia is enjoying special positive attention from the regional authorities, because it supports their city infra structures. 6. The railway corridor N-FIN-RUS could also be used for wood/forestry industry as well as for tourism in both directions. The potential of the route all the way from Troms through Finland to China and Far East should not be forgotten. 7. The energy supply/electrical networks have to be up-graded in order to facilitate the investments in mining, industry, oil and gas on-shore infrastructure. 8. Energy saving and efficiency, water and waste water treatment and waste management investments are needed for the coming 25 years. They are supported by EU-Russia funding through NEFCO and NDEP. The fund is governed in Russia by EBRD. 9. The expected investments to start first in MMK-ARH axis amount to 13 B BCF 20140320 8
Artic Sea Railroad Options
Barents Center Finland Maakuntakatu 29-31 B FI-96200 Rovaniemi Finland Mobile: +358 40 505 7611 Барентс Центр Финляндия ул. Маакунтакату 29-31Б FI-96200 Рованиеми Финляндия моб: +358 40 505 7611 BCF 20140320 10