Transport and Infrastructure what about the future? Professor Jorma Mäntynen Tampere University of Technology

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Viljo Sariola
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1 Transport and Infrastructure what about the future? Professor Jorma Mäntynen Tampere University of Technology 1

2 Finland as a part of the World Kuva: NASA Globalisation and the structural change of trade and industry Finland more dependent on foreign trade and international communication How to promote the success of Finland? Great significance of transport connections transport and infrastructure are always a part of Finnish success

3 The world trade by sea (billions tonne-miles) Shipping Facts

4 Sea transport of the world The Geography of Transport Systems Source: Shipping density data adapted from National Center for Ecological Analysis and Synthesis, A Global Map of Human Impacts to Marine Ecosystems

5 Tietojen lähde: Boeing Current Market Outlook Global air transport 2010 (billion passenger-km)

6 Tietojen lähde: Boeing Current Market Outlook Global air transport 2030 (billion passenger-km)

7 Rail transport in the world 2012 Passengers 2900 billion passenger-km Freight 9800 billion ton-km Rail network 1 million rail-km Lähde: UIC

8 Passenger cars in the world Source: Planning and design for sustain able urban mobility : global report on human settlements 2013 / United Nations Human Settlements Programme

9 New cars are sold in Asia Kuva lähteestä: Planning and design for sustain able urban mobility : global report on human settlements 2013 / United Nations Human Settlements Programme

10 East will be the center of consumption 10 NIC: Global trends 2030

11 11 From megacities to mega-areas

12 Vehicles for urban traffic Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis

13 The renaissance of cycling in Europe

14 Transport system - from home village to distant lands Kaupunkiseudut, Rodrique 2009

15 The export from Finland by industrial areas

16 Road transport flows of industry Forest industry Metal industry Chemistry and energy Construction and maintenance Kuva: Elinkeinoelämän tarpeet - rapor4 / Tiehallinto 2007

17 Traffic by road classes Road class % of road length % of traffic performance Motorways Semi- motorways Other dual carriageways Main roads with single carriageways Regional and conneceng roads with single carriageways Lähde: Liikennevirasto / Liikenneonnettomuudet maanteillä vuonna 2011

18 Transport performance Class I main roads Regional and connecting roads Lähde: Liikennevirasto / Tietilasto 2011

19 Repair debt should be paid Long history of failing sufficient maintenance A clear plan to restoration is needed

20 Money is scarce are we capable to Roads or rails prioritise? Main networks or lower class networks State roads km, rails 5900 km mainly for different purposes Traffic volume, traffic safety, the needs of trade and industry Strengthening the communication between areas How the needs change in the future? The concequences to be estimated for transport, areas and Finnish economy The wholeness of networks is important not only a single part of road or rail

21 Increasing intelligence everywhere 21

22 Change in way of thinking: from owner to user 22

23 Road transport scenarios 2030 example of different change forces Globaali toimintaympäristö Ikärakenteen muutokset Tieliikenteen toimintaympäristö Megatrendejä Kaupungistuminen Ilmastonmuutos GlobalisaaEo DigitalisaaEo Teknologiakehitys Toimintaympäristö Suomessa Ajavia voimia Talouskehitys Talouskehitys Sähköiset palvelut Taloudellinen LiikenneEedon ohjaus Alueellinen kehitys kehiräminen Väestön akeivisuus ajokoreromuus hajaantuminen yhtenäiskulruurista hyödyntäminen Infran Tieliikenteessä liikkuminen Ajankäytön muutokset slow- elämäntapa Kulkutapa- valinnat Raakaöljyn hinta Henkilöautojen käyrövoimat ja teknologiakehitys Asenneilmapiiri sähköpyörä ym. lähiliikkumisvälineet autoromuus kulutuksen vähentäminen Heikkoja signaaleja liikenne palveluna - ajarelu Muutosta hidastavia voimia: ihmisten to0umusten ja asenteiden, sääntelyn, infran ja autokannan pysyvyys ja pitkäikäisyys yhteisöllinen kuluraminen 23

24 Transport and infrastructure Transport has a central role in promotion of Finnish economy and welfare also in the future Transport requires high level infrastructre also in the future

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