ENERGYWEEK 20.3.2017 Making Grids Smarter A Journey from a Vision to Reality Dick Kronman, Head of Smart Grids Center of Excellence
The evolving grid From traditional to smart grid Traditional grid Smart grid Centralized power generation One-directional power flow Generation follows load Top-down operations planning Operation based on historical experience Centralized and distributed generation Multi-directional power flow Intermittent renewable generation Consumption integrated in system operation Operation based on real time data March 20, 2017 Slide 2
Älykkään sähköverkon lanseeraus Suomessa ABB Oy:n asiakaslehti, Toukokuu 2/2009 Uusiutuvien energialähteiden kuten tuulen ja auringon hyödyntäminen on mahdollista erityisesti pienimuotoisessa sähkön tuotannossa. Sen kytkeminen jakeluverkkoon vaatii verkoilta älykkyyttä. Harri Lehtinen Automaattinen vianpaikannus ja -erotus ovat olennainen osa älykästä verkkoa. Valvomossa tiedetään joka hetki, mikä verkon kytkentätilanne on. - Kari Koivuranta Vanhenevia verkkoja on uusittava, jotta sähkön toimitusvarmuus pystytään takaamaan. Kun verkkoja uusitaan, sitä ei voi tehdä perinteisen mallin mukaan Kari Koivuranta Jos asiakkaat tai lainsäädäntö edellyttävät nopeaa uudistumista, hintapiikkejä saattaa syntyä, jos vielä käypää tavaraa joudutaan vaihtamaan uuteen -Harri Lehtinen Pertti Järventausta Tampereen teknillisestä yliopistosta, Kari Koivuranta Fortumilta, Dick Kronman ABB:ltä ja Harri Lehtinen Vattenfallilta näkevät älykkään sähköverkon mullistavan sähköntuotannon. Älykäs sähköverkko on Suomen sähköistämisen jälkeen ensimmäinen teknologinen murros, joka todella sykähdyttää insinöörin mieltä. Harri Lehtinen March 20, 2017 Slide 3
Europe is moving towards renewable power generation Net Capacity Changes in EU-28 Power Generation 2000-2015 GW 140 100 60 20-20 -60 Wind Gas Solar Hydro Biomass Other Renewable Nuclear Coal Fuel Oil March 20, 2017 Slide 4 Source: GLOBAL MARKET OUTLOOK FOR SOLAR POWER 2016-2020
NO IS CH HR LU AT ME SE BA LV MK SI RO RS FI LT PT SK EU DK IE PT NI ES LT DE RO SE GR EU BE HR EE NL PL AT GB IT CY FR LU FI The Current Role of Renewables in the European Power Generation Renewable Power Generation vs Demand in 2015 Hydro Wind Solar 100% 60% 10% 80% 60% 40% 5% 40% 20% 20% 0% 0% 0% IT GR DE ES BE LU RO BG CZ EU SK DK SI LT PT FR Benchmark NO 96% FI 25% EU average 17% Benchmark DK 51% EU average 8% FI 4% Benchmark IT 9% EU Average 3% FI 0% March 20, 2017 Slide 5 Data Source: ENTSO-E
Renewables projected deployment by 2040 Wind and Solar: new players all over the world IEA New policies scenario Net capacity additions 2014-2040 Europe & North America (OEDC) Hydro China Wind Solar PV Other renewables 771 GW 768 GW Japan 100 GW India Southeast Asia Latin America M. East & Africa 109 GW 334 GW 186 GW 320 GW Wind, hydro and solar are most prevalent technologies March 20, 2017 Slide 6 Source: International Energy Agency (IEA), WEO 2014
The evolving grid New intelligence Wind Integration of renewables Shore-to-ship power Energy storage Communication Networks Solar Energy efficiency Grid automation Demand Response E-mobility Smart Cities Smart Home/ Buildings March 20, 2017 Slide 7
Power systems of the future Disruptive developments driving key changes in future grids Price history of silicon PV cells 1 Yearly demand for EV in US$ per watt Cost for lithium-ion battery packs 2 battery power 2 gigawatt hours Estimated Actual Batteries & photovoltaic Dramatic cost reduction to be continued Scalability of technologies Consumer investment across market segments accelerating developments March 20, 2017 Slide 8 1 Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance & pv.energytrend.com 2 Source: Data compiled by Bloomberg New Energy Finance
Evolution of ICT Future 5G networks will connect devices for critical infrastructure March 20, 2017 Slide 9 Source: European Commission, Towards 5G
Power systems of the future Energy storage A key element across the power value chain Load leveling Spinning reserve Conventional central generation Load center Integration of renewables Variable renewable generation MV HV transmission HV transm. HV subtransm. Load leveling Peak shaving Industry/ Large commercial MV HV subtransm. HV subtransm. MV LV Stabilization Microgrid Frequency regulation Residential/ Small commercial Solar PV time shift March 20, 2017 Slide 10
Need for Smarter Distribution Grids Key drivers for distribution grid investments Security of Supply Distributed Renewable Generation Customer Service Smarter grids increases distribution network reliability by providing fast fault location, isolation and restoration. Smarter grids enable integration of distributed energy resources. Smarter grids provides accurate information for outage management and thus enables better services for end customers National Legislation and Electricity Regulators Play a Key Role in Grid Development March 20, 2017 Slide 11
The Finnish Grid Renewal Development drivers in Finland Electricity Market Act 588/2013 Maximum outage time in planned areas is 6 h Maximum outage time in other areas is 36 h Stepwise implementation until 2028 Customer service Regulation 2016-2023 Investment incentive Quality incentive Innovation incentive Security of supply incentive March 20, 2017 Slide 12 Source. SEER
New innovations improving grid reliability ABB:s Multi-frequency Admittance Method awarded SOLID EARTH- FAULT I SOLID EARTH- FAULT II HIGH-OHMIC EARTH-FAULT I TRANSIENT EARTH FAULT I TRANSIENT EARTH FAULT II HIGH-OHMIC EARTH-FAULT II INTERMITTENT EARTH-FAULT I INTERMITTENT EARTH-FAULT II INTERMITTENT EARTH-FAULT III March 20, 2017 Slide 13