Uusiutuva energia sähkömarkkinoilla vuoden 2020 jälkeen avoimia kysymyksiä

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1 Uusiutuva energia sähkömarkkinoilla vuoden 2020 jälkeen avoimia kysymyksiä Niina Honkasalo Asiantuntija, energiapolitiikka ja uusiutuva energia EURELECTRIC

2 Changing power generation mix 5% increase in RES and 9% decrease in fossil fuels from 2013 to 2014 EU POWER GENERATION MIX BY ENERGY SOURCE (TWh) Total EU power generation in 2014: 3025 TWh (-3% from 2013). Fossil fuels share shrinking in the generation mix, mostly led by natural gas. RES became the largest source of low carbon electricity in the EU in 2014 (28% of total generation). RES: 28% Nuclear share remained stable. Source: EURELECTRIC. Other RES: Geothermal, renewable waste, wave, tidal. Other sources: peat, shale oil, non-renewable waste and unspecified.

3 Maailman aurinkopaneelikapasiteetti (kumulatiivinen)

4 Continued capacity growth in a stagnating market The pace of RES capacity additions slowed down in 2014 (annual additions of solar power decreased, while wind capacity additions increased). Decommissioning of gas capacities continued: in 2014 more capacity was decommissioned than added to the system. Source: EURELECTRIC Includes data from 24 European countries: Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Iceland, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Serbia, Spain, Sweden, Slovenia, Turkey and the United Kingdom

5 IEA: Levellised costs of electricity in 2020 (at each discount rate) PV CCGT hiili 3% 7% 10% ydinvoima maatuulivoima merituulivoima 3% 7% 10%

6 The Climate and Energy 2030 framework The conclusions of the European Council on October 2014 set the basis for a holistic, market-based and technology neutral policy framework

7 EU policy influencing RES State aid rules Energy Union Governance and national plans EU ETS Internal electricity market RES Directive Current content: Targets Support schemes and cooperation mechanisms National RES plans Sustainability criteria for biofuels Other: GOs, calculation rules, administrative procedures, regulations and codes, access and operation of grids (including priority dispatch) 7

8 State aid guidelines , rules on RES support Aid granted as premium on top of market price (selling in the market) Standard balancing responsibilities, unless no liquid intra-day markets exist Measures to ensure that generators have no incentive to generate under negative prices No retroactive measures: only obligations for projects under schemes notified as from 1 July 2014 Competitive bidding process for support (2017), but Not for small scale RES (solar<1mw, wind<6mw) Not if demonstrated less successful Not necessarily technology neutral When no tender, premium (2016), but Not necessary for solar < 500kW, wind <3MW Green certificates or investment aid also possible EC decisions based on new state aid rules: UK, Germany 8

9 Instituutioiden näkökulmia uusiutuvaan energiaan 2020 jälkeen Energiaunioni Hallintajärjestelmällä varmistetaan 27% uusiutuvia EU:ssa DG ENERin konsultaatioit: Miten saadaan uusiutuvan investoinnit enemmän markkinasignaaleihin perustuviksi? Miten uusiutuva sähkö voidaan integroida markkinalle (tasevastuu jne)? EU-tason toimet 27% tavoitteen saavuttamiseksi? Uusiutuvan tukien harmonisointi? Tulisiko (sähkön?!) tukijärjestelmien olla kansallisia / alueellisia / EU:n laajuisia? Konsultaatioissa ei mainita päästäkauppaa Uusiutuvan energian edistäminen 2020 jälkeen on jäsenmaiden käsissä. Hallintajärjestelmällä varmistetaan 27% uusiutuvia EU:ssa 2025 tarkistetaan tarvitaanko lisätoimia EU:n uusiutuvan tavoitteen saavuttamiseksi. Kansalliset uusiutuvan tavoitteet!

10 Uusiutuvan tukien rooli uusille investoinneille 2020 jälkeen? Liikenteen ja lämmityksen ja jäähdytyksen rooli? Varastointi? Päästökauppa? Sähkön kysyntä (sähköistyminen jne)? Sähkön hinnat? Tuulivoiman ja aurinkosähkön vaikutus hintaan? Sähköntuotantokapasiteetin lisäys? Teknologian kehitys?

11 RES CONSULTATION - EURELECTRIC s messages The industry is confident that renewables will become fully competitive with other generation. Both ETS and non-ets sectors should contribute in the most economical way to reaching the set EU RES target. Electrification of transport, heating and cooling is a technically and economically effective way to further enhance the contribution of renewables the EU ETS should be the main driver for RES investments in the power sector. Possible support for mature RES after 2020, should be cost-efficient and market-based way, maximising market integration of RES and minimising distortions Further alignment of RES support is needed through the RES Directive/state aid guidelines. Joint projects, partial opening of support schemes and regional schemes are welcome. Barriers for them should be addressed. EURELECTRIC does not see any obstacles to full operational integration of renewable electricity generators into the market as of today Distributed generation should be integrated into the market, and customer divide avoided The governance process should support achieving agreed 2030 EU energy and climate targets

12 STRATEGY COORDINATION Persons charged with coordination 1: Koen FA 2: Marion & Giuseppe FA 3: Gian Carlo SECRETARY GENERAL Hans FINANCE / IT / HR Marc COMMUNICATION & PUBLIC AFFAIRS Anne-Marie FA 1: Karl FA 2: Gaël FA 3: Anamaria Media Contact: Anamaria Twitter, Website & Publications: Adélaïde Focus Area 1: GENERATION, CLIMATE & ENVIRONMENT Focus Area 2: MARKETS & CUSTOMERS Focus Area 3: DISTRIBUTION ADVISORS ADVISORS ADVISORS Niina Karina Hélène Henning Samuele Committee Contacts EP&G: Niina ESDP: Koen Marion Charlotte en Aura Committee Contacts Markets: Marion Retail: Giuseppe Pavla Sebasti Aida Carolina Committee Contact DSO: Gian Carlo ASSISTANTS Emma-Louise / Brigitte ASSISTANT Nathalie ASSISTANT Ann

13 2030 Climate and Energy Toolkit EURELECTRIC S PRIORITIES AND POLICY RECOMMENDATIONS