15 december 2010 Raaka-ainenoteeraukset LME Metalli 3m USD % 3mSEK C-3M, USD Kupari 9137.5-1.11 62.48 C 52 Lyijy 2416.75-0.96 16.52 C -17 Sinkki 2276-2.23 15.56 C -15 Alumiini 2347.5-0.87 16.05 C -19 Nikkeli 24400-0.91 166.84 C -64 Tina 26150 0.19 178.80 C 20 Alumiiniseos 2230 0.00 15.25 C 0 Molybdeeni 35700 0.00 244.10 C -500 Koboltti 38000 0.00 259.83 C 300 Teräsaihiot 550 0.00 3.76 C -30 C = Contango B = Backwardation LME Varasto Tonnia Muutos Kupari 350 900 450 Lyijy 203 175 0 Sinkki 699 850 43475 Alumiini 4 283 600 11225 Nikkeli 130 974-90 Tina 15 625 270 Alumiiniseos 70 340-20 Molybdeeni 288 0 Koboltti 209 0 Teräsaihiot 57 720 0 Jalometalli Spot, USD Kulta 1390.96 Hopea 29.21 Platina 1692.99 Palladium 752.22 Maataloustuotteet Öljytuotteet Valuutat Muut raaka-aineet Spot 3 kk CBOT-vehnä 763.25 Soijapavut 12.99 Kaura 384.50 1 sopimus, EUR Vehnä - Matif 234.00 Rapsi - Matif 478.00 WTI 87.74 Brent-öljy 90.62 Jetfuel 823 Kaasuöljy 759 Polttoöljy 1% 496.5 ULSD 10 CIF 789 USD/SEK 6.8190 6.8405 EUR/USD 1.3325 1.3321 EUR/SEK 9.0865 GBP/SEK 10.7270 GBP/USD 1.5739 USD/CNY 6.6541 Mo Platts Md 15.95 Henry Hub 4.237 BalticDry Ind 2069 Rautamalmi 155 Papperimassa Energiamarkkinat Shanghai Sähkömarkkinat 1 sopimus, 1 sopimus, CNY 1 sopimus, EUR NBSK PIX 948.99 Coal Api2 113.05 Kupari 67100 NordPool neljännes 67.1 BHKP PIX 643.37 CO2 (EUR) 14.25 Alumiini 16085 NordPool vuosi 54 Uutiskooste JP Morgan omistaa kuparia 1,1 miljardin dollarin arvosta JP Morgan vahvisti eilen omistavansa LME-varaston kuparia 1,1 miljardin dollarin arvosta, joka vastaa 122 000 tonnia fyysistä kuparia. Suuren osuuden omistajasta on spekuloitu kahden viikon ajan, aina siitä lähtien, kun LME liputti, että yhdellä toimijalla on 50 79 %:n positio kuparivarastosta. JP Morgan Resources selittää positiota vahvalla markkinauskollaan ja sillä, että Codelco, jonka osuus kuparin tuotannosta on 12 %, puolittaa tuotantonsa tulevien viiden vuoden aikana. JP Morganilla on 70 miljardia Yhdysvaltain dollaria hallinnoitua pääomaa raaka-aineosastollaan. Kuparille noteerattiin eilen uusin korkein lukema, 9 267 Yhdysvaltain dollaria tonnilta, mutta se laski myöhemmin takaisin ja päätyi eilen lievään laskuun. Perus- ja jalometalleissa oli eilen sekä nousijoita että laskijoita: hopea nousi 1,9 % mutta kulta laski jonkin verran. Sinkkivarastot kasvavat erittäin nopeasti. Maanantaina raportoitiin 43 000 tonnin kasvu ja eilen 25 000 tonnin kasvu. Maanantain kasvu on suurin sitten kesäkuun 2005, ja se vastaa suurin piirtein Bolidenin kahden kuukauden tuotantoa. Varastot ovat nyt korkeimmillaan seitsemään vuoteen, lähellä 700 000 tonnia. Handelsbanken Capital Markets, Blasieholmstorg 11,SE 106 70, +46 8 463 46 20, commodity@handelsbanken.se 15 december 2010 1
Alumiinitermiinit 3 000 2 900 2 800 2 700 2 600 2 500 2 400 2 300 2 200 2 100 2 000 1 900 1 800 1 700 1 600 1 500 1 400 1 300 1 200 DEC0 DEC1 DEC2 DEC3 DEC4 NOV5 Alumiini: LME varastotaso(vasemmalla) ja 3 kk:n hinta (oikealla) 5150000.00 2600.00 4650000.00 2400.00 4150000.00 3650000.00 2200.00 3150000.00 2000.00 2650000.00 1800.00 2150000.00 1600.00 1650000.00 1150000.00 1400.00 650000.00 1200.00 MAL3 MAL-Stocks Kuparitermiinit 8 500 8 000 7 500 7 000 6 500 6 000 5 500 5 000 4 500 DEC0 DEC1 DEC2 DEC3 DEC4 NOV5 Kupari: LME-varastotaso (vasemmalla) ja 3 kk:n hinta (oikealla) 650000.00 8800.00 550000.00 7800.00 450000.00 6800.00 350000.00 5800.00 250000.00 4800.00 150000.00 3800.00 50000.00 2800.00 MCU3 MCU-Stocks Nikkelitermiinit 28 000 26 000 24 000 22 000 20 000 18 000 16 000 14 000 12 000 DEC0 JUN1 DEC1 JUN2 DEC2 JUN3 DEC3 JUN4 Nikkeli: LME-varastotaso (vasemmalla) ja 3 kk:n hinta (oikealla) 180000.00 33000.00 160000.00 140000.00 28000.00 120000.00 100000.00 23000.00 80000.00 18000.00 60000.00 40000.00 13000.00 20000.00 0.00 8000.00 MNI3 MNI-Stocks 15 december 2010 2
Sinkkitermiinit 3 000 2 800 2 600 2 400 2 200 2 000 1 800 1 600 1 400 1 200 DEC0 JUN1 DEC1 JUN2 DEC2 JUN3 DEC3 2010-12-15 2010-12-03 Sinkki: LME-varastotaso (vasemmalla) ja 3 kk:n hinta (oikealla) 800000.00 2900.00 700000.00 2700.00 2500.00 600000.00 2300.00 500000.00 2100.00 400000.00 1900.00 300000.00 1700.00 1500.00 200000.00 1300.00 100000.00 1100.00 0.00 900.00 MZN3 MZN-Stocks WTI futuurit WTI, 1 sopimus 95.00 85.00 75.00 65.00 55.00 45.00 35.00 150.00 140.00 130.00 120.00 110.00 100.00 90.00 80.00 70.00 60.00 50.00 40.00 30.00 feb-10 maj-10 aug-10 nov-10 Kaasuöljyfutuurit Kaasuöljy 850 1400.00 1200.00 650 1000.00 800.00 450 600.00 400.00 2010-12-15 2010-12-13 200.00 mar-10 jun-10 sep-10 15 december 2010 3
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