SolarForum An operation and business environment development project Dr. Suvi Karirinne, project manager, Head of the Environmental Engineering Degree Programme
Solar Energy Finland -???? Approximately 100 000 solar energy jobs in Germany Installations in Germany at 2010: 7000 MW / annual 19000 MW / cumulative -> the biggest PV market in the world
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 growth% MW 25000 The average annual growth in the PV-markets in the EU area is 36% Cumulative installed PV capacity in EU and in the world 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 EU27 108 139 189 286 394 605 1089 1981 2971 4765 9405 15943 global 948 1150 1428 1762 2201 2795 3847 5167 6770 9162 1473022878 Source: EPIA, Global market outlook for photovoltaics until 2014 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 PV Market's annual growth percentages EUgrowth% /annual global growth% / annual
Solar Energy: challenges in Finland Finland has small domestic solar energy markets Governmental policy for subsidies favors bigger solar energy projects Limited possibilities for companies for their own solar energy product and system development.
SolarForum - project The goal for SolarForum -project is to activate the formation of new know-how based technology in the field of solar energy. Education To complete, rationalize, improve SolarForum 380 000 the existing solar energy value chain in the province of Satakunta. Markets RDIactivities
Companies already in SolarForum Porin Termolaite Oy
Driwing forces behind the renewable energy technologies Environmental Protection, Social Responsibility PV = PhotoVoltaics ST = Solar Thermal Economic Development PV, ST National policies for subsidies, EU s climate and energy policies
The potential of renewable energies: one vision
MW Markets: Potential of Photovoltaics for the next years 30000 Global annual PV market (policy-driven scenario) 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010e 2011e 2012e 2013e 2014e China 20 45 160 600 1000 1250 1800 2500 USA 22 29 44 63 90 114 145 207 342 477 1000 2000 3000 4500 6000 Japan 112 135 185 223 272 290 287 210 230 484 1200 1200 1500 1700 2400 rest of the world 94 75 104 98 53 12 196 207 485 637 900 1700 2450 3400 4100 Europe 50 96 106 210 637 906 975 1768 4503 5605 11515 8405 9690 11795 13475 Source: EPIA, Global market outlook for photovoltaics until 2014
/ W European annual PV market outlook (policy driven scenario) 3,50 Global weight average price / W 10000 3,00 2,50 8000 2,00 1,50 1,00 system module (factory gate) 6000 4000 2000 Belgium Greece Czech Portugal Italy France Spain Germany 0,50 0,00 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 Source: Photon Consulting, Solar Annual 2010 2011. Market shares - crystalline technologies vs. thinfilm thin-film c-si modules 78 % 78 % 77 % 76 % 75 % 0 22 % 22 % 23 % 24 % 25 % 2009 2010e 2011e 2012e 2013e Source: EPIA, Global market outlook for photovoltaics until 2014 Source: EPIA, Global market outlook for photovoltaics until 2014
MW GW and Potential of Solar Thermal for the next years 100 Total capacity in operation of flat-plate and evacuated tube collectors installed at 2007 10 1 China Turkey Germany Japan Israel Brazil Greece Austria USA/CAN India GWth 79,9 7,1 6,1 4,9 3,5 2,51 2,5 2,1 1,7 1,5 % 71,5 6,4 5,5 4,4 3,1 2,2 2,2 1,9 1,5 1,3 3000000 2500000 2000000 1500000 1000000 500000 0 Global installed and estimated solar thermal capacity at 2005-2020 (cumulative) 2005 2010 2015 2020 global(sarasin) 90000 270000 830000 2260000 Europe (ESTIF) 11175 32000 92000 325000 Solar thermal worldwide capacity distribution by collector type air 1 % unglazed 17 % flat-plate 32 % evacuated tube 50 %
Technologies for the next years Photovoltaics: Solar Thermal: mono crystalline Si polycrystalline Si flat plate collector thin film Si vacuum tube collector
Visions for the future right RDI-activites Building integration:
Technologies for the future Thin film technologies: -Commercial -Si thin films - CIGS thin films - On the edge of commercialisation - Dye sensitised thin films
-Energy Storage - Integration to the Built Environment - Smart Building Automation
Consentrated Solar Power (CSP) www.desertec.org CSP-tower 20MW PS20, Seville, Spain CPV system Parabolic solar thermal collector, Nevada, USA
Education Environmental Engineering bachelor degree programme (four years). Areas of focuses: Environmental Technology Advanced Energy Technology and Energy Efficiency Cources and Seminars on Photovoltaics and Solar Thermal Technologies for SolarForum companies
The World is bigger than Finland or Europe Markets of the future SUNBELT 35 N 0 countries 148 population 5.3 billion GDP (2008) 16.4 trillion electricity consumption 7000 TWh SUNBELT 35 S ~ 75 % of the planet s human population ~ 39 % of the global electricity consumption Hudge business potential for right kind of solar energy products!
Thank You! Further information: Dr. Suvi Karirinne, Project manager (Solar Energy) Head of Degree Programme (Environmental Engineering) Mobile: + 358 44 710 3304 Email: suvi.karirinne@samk.fi