Wind Power New Opportunities for New Energy Marget Players in Finland. Jari Suominen Jari.suominen(at)tuuliwatti.fi

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1 Wind Power New Opportunities for New Energy Marget Players in Finland Jari Suominen Jari.suominen(at)tuuliwatti.fi

2 Lead markets Statistics 2020 Scenarios Biggest EU markets: Cumulative: n 1 Germany n 2 Spain n 3 Italy n 4 France n 5 United Kingdom n 6 Portugal n 7 Denmark n 8 Sweden n 9 Ireland n 18 Finland Annual (2009): n 1 Spain (2.459 MW) n 2 Germany (1.917 MW) n 3 Italy (1.114 MW) n 4 France (1.088 MW) n 5 United Kingdom (1.077 MW) n 6 Portugal (673 MW) n 7 Sweden (512 MW) n 8 Denmark (334 MW) n 9 Ireland (233 MW) n 19 Finland (4 MW) n 1 Germany ( MW) n 2 Spain ( MW) n 3 United Kingdom ( MW) n 4 France ( MW) n 5 Italy ( MW) n 6 Poland ( MW) n 7 The Netherlands ( MW) n 8 Sweden ( MW) n 9 Portugal ( MW) n 10 Greece ( MW) n 11 Ireland ( MW) Denmark ( MW) n 18 Finland ( MW) Source: EWEA

077 MW) n 6 Portugal (673 MW) n 7 Sweden (512 MW) n 8 Denmark (334 MW) n 9 Ireland (233 MW) n 19 Finland (4 MW) n 1 Germany (49.000 52.000 MW) n 2 Spain (39.000 42.500 MW) n 3 United Kingdom (26.

3 Content Feed-in Tariff Strengths and Weaknesses Investment Barriers and Opportunities TuuliWatti Business Case

4 Content Feed-in Tariff Strengths and Weaknesses Investment Barriers and Opportunities TuuliWatti Business Case

5 The law proposal for feed-in tariff system The government has given the law proposal to parliament in Will be handled in cabinets first, then voted in parliament Fixed quaranteed price, 83,5 /MWh for 12 years Until the end of 2015 higher level 105,3 / MWh, max 3 years New turbines, which have been installed before included Minimum size 500 kw Funding from the governmental budget An additional tariff or other subsidy system may be introduced later for off-shore wind enabling at least demo projects (< 100 MW) Starts in 2011

level 30 /MWh Producer is responsible for the sale of electricity

6 Guaranteed market price Market Price Average market price Guaranteed price Guaranteed price Premium is paid quarterly Minimum level 30 /MWh Producer is responsible for the sale of electricity to the market Producer is responsible for the electricity balance and it s costs

7 Strengths and Weaknesses Asennettu kapasiteetti (MW) Tuotanto (GWh) Tuotantoindeksi, IL (%) Investment support system was not efficient System is technology and location neutral, forcing investments to most cost efficient locations Cost efficient way to reduce fossil energy use in electricity production and decreases electricity costs more than costs as overall support Support costs likely to decrease/disappear during the system life time due to the increase in electricity market prices The level is high enough for onshore projects, but not for offshore or inland projects Risk of low electricity prices? When will the target be reached?

technology and location neutral, forcing investments to most cost efficient locations Cost efficient way to reduce fossil energy use in electricity production and decreases electricity costs more

8 Content Feed-in Tariff Strengths and Weaknesses Investment Barriers and Opportunities TuuliWatti Business Case

9 New Wind Atlas Wind Atlas observation points Today: 191 weather stations New Wind Atlas: points á 2,5x2,5 km points á 250x250m (onshore)

stations New Wind Atlas: 54 200 points á

11 Developing a wind farm in Finland Find the right area Wind Atlas National parks etc close by? Where is the closest grid connection point? Negotiations with land owners Negotiations with the TSO (Fingrid) Negotiations with the authorities Wind speed measurements Radar effects Regional land use plan (Regional Council) Local master plan (Municipality) Local detailed plan (Municipality) New law proposal to simplify the process

Negotiations with land owners Negotiations with the TSO (Fingrid) Negotiations with the authorities Wind

12 TuuliWatti Oy - General principles To build cost efficient wind electricity production to Finland Sustainable production which takes into account social and environmental values of potential locations Focusing on projects, which are either linked to the nearby coast line onshore windfarms or integrated into existing infrastructure like harbours, industrial areas etc.

potential locations Focusing on projects, which are either linked to the nearby coast line

13 Porin tahkoluoto existing infrastructure

14 Flat forest areas typical in Finland

15 Barriers and Opportunities Large country with few people and long coastline With the feed-in tariff, new Wind Atlas and the projects published so far, there will be high investments in the wind sector in Finland before 2020 Finnish wind power industry has the possibility to multiply the turnover by 2020 Wind energy sector in Finland might employ from to persons before 2020 One of the new opening markets Fare amount of natural limitations Coastline used for time off activities Birds and other sustainability issues New for everybody processes not settled Cost efficient feed-in tariff system

2020 Wind energy sector in Finland might employ from 12 000 to 30 000 persons before 2020 One of the new opening markets Fare amount of natural

16 Content Feed-in Tariff Strengths and Weaknesses Investment Barriers and Opportunities TuuliWatti Business Case

17 TuuliWatti Oy TuuliWatti Oy is an industrial windpower producer jointly owned by S-Voima Oy and St1 Oy, founded in 2009 TuuliWatti Oy s purpose is to produce cost efficient electricity to its owners Business targets: To build 10-20% of Finland s official wind energy production target of ~2500MW by the year 2020 In the long term to own and operate MW wind electricity capacity Owns lease agreements to 500 individual turbine sites Develops wind farms Owns and operates wind electricity production First wind turbine (3MW) in Pori Tahkoluoto since windfarm development projects on the West Coast of Finland

year 2020 In the long term to own and operate 240-1000MW wind electricity capacity Owns lease agreements to 500 individual turbine sites Develops wind

18 Owners and company structure S-Voima Oy Purpose to produce wind electricity as a part of its energy portfolio to its own consumption St1 Oy Purpose to produce wind energy as a part of its energy offering portfolio to its end user customers

own consumption St1 Oy Purpose to produce wind energy as a

19 S-Voima and the S-Group in brief S-Voima Oy is owned by 22 regional co-operatives and SOK The 22 regional co-operatives and SOK Corporation constitute the S Group (SOK is owned by the co-ops) Mission: Provide services and benefits to members and other customers Key figures: Retail sales 2009: EUR 11,687 million (-1,2 %) Profit before exceptional items: EUR 270 million 1,598 outlets 37,764 employees Electricity consumption GWh Strategic goals are to increase the energy efficiency of all operations and to invest in the use of CO 2 free energy

figures: Retail sales 2009: EUR 11,687 million (-1,2 %) Profit before exceptional items: EUR 270 million 1,598 outlets 37,764 employees

20 St1-Group in brief St1 was founded in 1995 to operate in oil product wholesale business St1 service station chain (est. 1997) part of the company since 2000 ExxonMobil Finnish Affiliate oy Esso ab was acquired in 2007 the company was named St1 Oy Key figures in 2009 Number of employees 160 Turnover appr. 1.2 billion Euros Market shares Petrol 13.5% Diesel 9.2% Light fuel oil 11.5% Areas of business Petroleum retailing at ~ 640 sites in Finland, Sweden, Norway and Poland CO 2 -aware energy products and services Such as Refuel RE85 High blend ethanol, which cuts transport-related fossil CO 2 emissions by up to 80% Associated companies North European Oil Trade Oy (NEOT Oy)/ S- Group TuuliWatti Oy/ S-Voima Oy St1 Avifuels Oy/ StatoilHydro ASA

1.2 billion Euros Market shares Petrol 13.5% Diesel 9.2% Light fuel oil 11.

21 TuuliWatti investment plans Development started 2009 : Tervola, Varevaara MW Ii, Olhava MW Simo, MW Pori, Peittoo MW Salo/Raasepori, Näsenkartano MW Merikarvia, Trolssi MW Co-operation TW, HT, EPV Building 2011 (2012) Building 2012 (2013) Development started 2010 : Raahe, Haapajoki MW MW Raahe, Piehinki Sarvankangas MW Kalajoki, Mustilankangas MW Luvia, Martinpalo MW Co-operation TW, PE Building 2013

22 Jari Suominen jari.suominen(at)tuuliwatti.fi Puh

23 Back-ups

24 klo 05:48 klo 09:06 kwh TW Pori tuotanto MW kwh TW Pori tuotanto 11/ /2009 1/2010 2/2010 3/2010 4/2010 5/ MW Suomen tuulivoimatavoite 6 TWh, MW Sähkön hinnan nousu 145% kahdessa tunnissa Lähde:

25 Useat päällekkäiset tekijät nostavat sähkön hankintakustannuksia Sähkön hinta, alv0% ( /MWh) Näkymä /MWh Uusiutuvan energian tukeminen Sähkövero Tilanne /MWh Sähkövero Sähkön siirto Sähkön myynti Päästökauppa Marginaalituotannon muuttuvat kustannukset % Sähköenergian markkinahinta Sähkön siirto EU sähkömarkkinaintegraatio Sähkön myynti Päästökauppa Marginaalituotannon muuttuvat kustannukset Oletukset Näkymä 2020 takana: -Sähköverot hallituksen kehysriihen mukaisena v taso - Marginaalituotantona hiililauhde, hiili 70+ $/ton - Päästöoikeuden hinta 2020: 40+ /ton,co2 - EU:n sähkömarkkinaintegraatio; lähemmäksi Saksan tukkuhintatasoa - Uusiutuvan energian tukijärjestelmät vaikutus ~1,5 /MWh - Kantaverkkoinvestoinnit ja integraatiokehityksen tarvitsemat yhteydet Eurooppaan, siirtomaksut +4% / vuosi Lähde: Suomen ElFi Oy

26 Tuulivoima laskee sähkön markkinahintaa -Tuen tarve tuulisähkölle nykyisen syöttötariffin tasolla häviää v.2020 mennessä (takuuhinta 83.5 /MWh vastaa sähkön hintaa) - Pöyryn EWEA:lle tekemässä selvityksessä tuulivoiman Merit Order Effectin on todettu vaikuttavan 3-23 /MWh sähkön hintaan laskevasti - Suomen sähkönkulutus v noin 100 TWh -> 1 /MWh = noin 100 milj. Muuttuvat tuotantokustannukset ( /MWh) Tuuli v tuulivoima laskee sähkön markkinahintaa Suomessa ~5 /MWh = ~500 milj. Vesivoima (keskivesivuosi) Ydinvoima Systeemihinta Tuonti Venäjä Kysyntä CHP Hiililauhde Tuonti Saksa Öljylauhde Kaasuturbiinit Tuotantokyky (TWh/a) Lähde: Suomen ElFi Oy

27 Spatial planning Regional land use plan (Regional Council) Local master plan (Municipality) Local detailed plan (Municipality) New law proposal to simplify the process

28 The permitting process Always required Compliance with flight security (>30 m) Permit in accordance with the Electricity Market Act (> 110kV) Redemption right on the land needed for new electricity transmission lines Building permit Always in the off-shore farms + if the turbines have impacts on water system -> permit in accordance with the Water Act Environmental permit, if project causes inconvenience to neighbors (noise or shimmer) (Invest in Finland + Finnish Environment Institute)

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